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cricket_win_probability

Read-only

Win probability for a live or hypothetical limited-overs match state, from a logistic model fitted on 8,000+ archived matches (per format and innings, with pre-match Elo). Returns the batting side's probability and who is favored. Use for 'who is winning' or 'what are the odds at X/Y'.

Input Schema

TableJSON Schema
NameRequiredDescriptionDefault
runsYesruns scored so far by the batting side
oversYesovers bowled in cricket notation, e.g. 15.3 = 15 overs 3 balls
targetNoruns needed to win (second innings only)
inningsYes1 for the side setting a target, 2 for the chase
wicketsYeswickets lost so far (0-10)
total_oversYesovers per side: 20 for T20 and The Hundred, 50 for ODI
batting_teamNooptional team name, improves the estimate via Elo
bowling_teamNooptional team name, improves the estimate via Elo
balls_per_overNoballs per over: 6 unless The Hundred, which bowls 5-ball sets — pass 5 there or every rate is a fifth off

TDQS

A3.9/5.0
Behavior4/5

Does the description disclose side effects, auth requirements, rate limits, or destructive behavior?

Annotations already indicate readOnly and non-destructive behavior. The description adds useful model context: logistic model fitted on 8,000+ archived matches, per format and innings, with pre-match Elo, and clarifies the output includes batting-side probability and favored side. This goes beyond what annotations provide.

Agents need to know what a tool does to the world before calling it. Descriptions should go beyond structured annotations to explain consequences.

Conciseness4/5

Is the description appropriately sized, front-loaded, and free of redundancy?

The description is compact and front-loaded with the core purpose, followed by model provenance and concrete use cases. All three sentences contribute value, though the phrasing 'who is favored' and the quoted use cases could be slightly more formal.

Shorter descriptions cost fewer tokens and are easier for agents to parse. Every sentence should earn its place.

Completeness4/5

Given the tool's complexity, does the description cover enough for an agent to succeed on first attempt?

For a tool with no output schema, the description adequately states what the caller receives: the batting side's probability and who is favored. With 9 parameters all documented in the schema and annotations covering safety, the description is sufficient for an agent to understand scope and output. Some edge-case behavior around innings and target is left implicit, but the schema fills that gap.

Complex tools with many parameters or behaviors need more documentation. Simple tools need less. This dimension scales expectations accordingly.

Parameters3/5

Does the description clarify parameter syntax, constraints, interactions, or defaults beyond what the schema provides?

Schema description coverage is 100%, so the parameters are already fully documented in the schema. The description does not add further parameter-level detail but does clarify that the returned probability applies to the batting side, which is mildly helpful context.

Input schemas describe structure but not intent. Descriptions should explain non-obvious parameter relationships and valid value ranges.

Purpose4/5

Does the description clearly state what the tool does and how it differs from similar tools?

The description clearly states the tool computes win probability for a live or hypothetical limited-overs match state and returns the batting side's probability and favored side. It is specific enough to distinguish from siblings like cricket_live_matches or cricket_match_archive, though it does not explicitly name a sibling alternative.

Agents choose between tools based on descriptions. A clear purpose with a specific verb and resource helps agents select the right tool.

Usage Guidelines4/5

Does the description explain when to use this tool, when not to, or what alternatives exist?

The description gives explicit use cases: 'who is winning' or 'what are the odds at X/Y'. This provides clear context for when the tool is appropriate, though it does not mention when not to use it or explicitly compare it to alternatives like cricket_market_odds.

Agents often have multiple tools that could apply. Explicit usage guidance like "use X instead of Y when Z" prevents misuse.

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TDQS

A3.8/5.0
Disambiguation4/5

Each tool targets a distinguishable cricket data need: reference, match status, archives, player splits, team/venue stats, and probability. The only mild overlap is cricket_market_odds and cricket_win_probability, both returning probability-like output, but their descriptions make the market-vs-model distinction clear enough.

Naming Consistency4/5

All tools share the cricket_ prefix and mostly use descriptive noun phrases such as cricket_player_career and cricket_venue_stats. cricket_explain_term breaks the pattern slightly as the only verb-led name, so the set is highly consistent but not perfectly uniform.

Tool Count5/5

Eleven tools is well within the ideal range for a domain-specific cricket data server. Each tool covers a meaningful slice of the domain—explainer, live matches, archived scorecards, player/team/venue stats, leaderboards, and probabilities—without feeling bloated.

Completeness4/5

The surface covers most core cricket analytics workflows: lookup, live scores, career and phase stats, head-to-heads, team form, venue behavior, leaderboards, and win probability. Minor gaps exist such as detailed live ball-by-ball commentary or series-level schedules, but agents can generally accomplish common cricket questions without dead ends.