Skip to main content
Glama

Get Outcome Fair Value

get_outcome_fair_value
Read-only

Options/vol-implied fair value for a HIP-4 binary/range/touch PRICE market (" above $X at time T?"). Returns the risk-neutral probability the market resolves YES, and — if you pass market_yes_price — the signed edge in probability points and a YES cheap/rich/fair verdict. BTC/ETH price off the live Deribit IV smile (interpolated to strike + DTE); ANY other asset falls back to Hyperliquid 30d realized vol. iv_source labels which was used (smile/term_interp/skew_adj/atm/realized_vol). The touch case uses the correct drifted first-passage formula. Approximations are listed in caveats.

Input Schema

TableJSON Schema
NameRequiredDescriptionDefault
assetYesUnderlying ticker, e.g. "BTC", "ETH", "SOL", "HYPE". BTC/ETH use the Deribit IV smile; others use Hyperliquid realized vol.
strikeYesThe market's strike / threshold price, e.g. 70000.
comparatorYesMarket shape: above/below a strike, inside a range [strike, strike_high], or touches the strike before expiry.
expiry_isoYesMarket resolution time as an ISO 8601 string, e.g. "2026-08-21T06:00:00Z".
strike_highNoUpper bound for range markets (must be > strike). Ignored otherwise.
market_yes_priceNoCurrent on-chain YES price (0..1) to compute the edge against fair value.

TDQS

A4.3/5.0
Behavior4/5

Does the description disclose side effects, auth requirements, rate limits, or destructive behavior?

Annotations already declare readOnlyHint=true and openWorldHint=true, so the safety profile is covered. The description adds useful behavioral detail beyond that: iv_source labels, the special 'drifted first-passage formula' for touch, and the fact that approximations exist. It could be more concrete about what those approximations are, but overall it discloses methodology transparently.

Agents need to know what a tool does to the world before calling it. Descriptions should go beyond structured annotations to explain consequences.

Conciseness4/5

Is the description appropriately sized, front-loaded, and free of redundancy?

The description is dense but each sentence contributes distinct information: purpose, return values, data sources, special touch handling, and caveats. It is longer than some sibling descriptions, but the tool is inherently complex and the extra length is earned.

Shorter descriptions cost fewer tokens and are easier for agents to parse. Every sentence should earn its place.

Completeness4/5

Given the tool's complexity, does the description cover enough for an agent to succeed on first attempt?

Given there is no output schema, the description does a good job explaining the key return elements (probability, edge, verdict, iv_source). It also covers asset fallback behavior and the touch edge case. Minor gaps: the actual approximation caveats are referenced but not enumerated, and exact response shape is not specified, but this still feels adequate for a read-only calculation tool.

Complex tools with many parameters or behaviors need more documentation. Simple tools need less. This dimension scales expectations accordingly.

Parameters4/5

Does the description clarify parameter syntax, constraints, interactions, or defaults beyond what the schema provides?

The schema already covers all parameters 100%, so the baseline is 3. The description adds meaningful semantic value by explaining that market_yes_price enables the edge and cheap/rich/fair verdict, and that iv_source labels which volatility source was used. This goes beyond the schema's property descriptions.

Input schemas describe structure but not intent. Descriptions should explain non-obvious parameter relationships and valid value ranges.

Purpose5/5

Does the description clearly state what the tool does and how it differs from similar tools?

The description opens with a specific verb+resource: 'Options/vol-implied fair value for a HIP-4 binary/range/touch PRICE market' and clearly states what it returns (risk-neutral probability, signed edge, verdict). It distinguishes itself from siblings like get_outcome_edges by emphasizing the vol-implied derivation rather than raw market edges.

Agents choose between tools based on descriptions. A clear purpose with a specific verb and resource helps agents select the right tool.

Usage Guidelines4/5

Does the description explain when to use this tool, when not to, or what alternatives exist?

The description provides clear context on when to use it: for HIP-4 price markets where you want IV-based fair value, with asset-specific guidance (BTC/ETH via Deribit IV smile, others via realized vol). It does not explicitly name alternatives or exclusions, but the conditions are strongly implied by the description and comparator list.

Agents often have multiple tools that could apply. Explicit usage guidance like "use X instead of Y when Z" prevents misuse.

Try in Browser

Glama MCP Gateway

Add one secure layer between your agents and this server.

TDQS

A3.7/5.0
Disambiguation3/5

Many tools are specialized, but several pairs have fuzzy boundaries: e.g., get_funding_rates vs get_top_funding_rates, get_basic_macro vs get_macro_context, get_simple_iv vs get_options_iv. An agent could easily select the wrong one.

Naming Consistency4/5

Most tools follow a 'get_X' pattern with descriptive noun phrases. There are a few exceptions like 'create_api_key' and 'search_markets', but overall the convention is consistent and readable.

Tool Count2/5

With 47 tools, the server is overloaded. While the domain is broad, this many tools makes discovery and selection difficult for an agent, reducing coherence.

Completeness5/5

The tool set covers an impressively wide range: macro data, funding, prediction markets, OI history, whale tracking, risk analytics, position sizing, backtesting, and signal generation. It leaves no obvious gaps for a crypto trading assistant.