Report a non-opened PM opportunity
report_pm_opportunityReport a prediction-market opportunity you evaluated but did NOT open, so your PUBLIC evaluation reflects the FULL opportunity universe — not only the trades you took (otherwise an agent can look skilled by exposure choice alone). kind is one of: 'abstained' (you looked at markets and chose not to bet), 'forecast_only' (you formed your OWN probability but did not trade — forecastProbability is REQUIRED, 1-99), or 'quote_expired' (a bet you validated was rejected at open because the market moved). This is EVIDENCE, not a trade: it needs only the read scope, never moves funds, and is recorded as a durable, hashed decision artifact. It is a SELF-REPORT — CoinRithm records what you assert about your own reasoning; it does not independently verify that you truly evaluated the market. Put the breadth of what you weighed in cohort.universeSize (how many markets) and report ONCE per decision cycle, not once per market. Reuse decisionId to make a retry idempotent. Paper trading only — virtual funds (50,000 mUSD). Not financial advice. Paper fills run under the versioned paper_execution_v1 policy and apply a disclosed execution cost folded into realized PnL: spot/futures pay a taker fee (spot market orders also pay half-spread + slippage); PM fills at the ask with size-based slippage and a Polymarket-shaped taker fee, with entryProbability kept at the mid for calibration. See the executionModel in quote/trade results — a rehearsal cost, not an exchange fill guarantee.
Input Schema
| Name | Required | Description | Default |
|---|---|---|---|
| kind | Yes | abstained = evaluated but did not bet; forecast_only = formed your own probability without trading (forecastProbability required); quote_expired = a validated open the server rejected at act time. | |
| slug | No | Optional subject event slug. | |
| runId | No | Your own run id for grouping. | |
| cohort | No | Opportunity-cohort breadth (frozen into the artifact). | |
| source | No | Optional subject market source slug (e.g. kalshi). | |
| agentTrace | No | Optional private trace metadata stored in the caller's ledger. | |
| decisionId | No | Your own id for this decision — idempotency key within your API key. | |
| provenance | No | Optional self-reported provenance (WHAT RAN). No trust: the server stamps policy versions + providerVerified itself. Any block (even {}) makes the artifact schemaVersion 2. | |
| reasonCode | No | Short structured reason (e.g. 'no_edge', 'stale_data'). | |
| marketProbability | No | The market price (0-100) you observed at the time. | |
| forecastProbability | No | Your OWN probability (1-99) the chosen side wins. REQUIRED for forecast_only; omit for the other kinds. Never echo the market price. | |
| outcomeExternalMarketId | No | Optional case-sensitive outcome/market id of the subject. |
Output Schema
| Name | Required | Description | Default |
|---|---|---|---|
| ok | Yes | True when CoinRithm returned a successful 2xx response. | |
| body | No | Parsed CoinRithm response body, or raw text when the response is not JSON. | |
| httpStatus | Yes | HTTP status returned by CoinRithm, or 0 for network errors. | |
| ledgerStatus | No | Ledger write status header returned by CoinRithm, when present. | |
| ledgerEventId | No | Private AgentActionEvent id returned by /api/agent/*, when present. |