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DPX — Institutional Cross-Border Settlement

forecast.commodity_outlook

Read-only

Climate-driven price pressure outlook for a commodity. Returns BULLISH/BEARISH/NEUTRAL signal with 30/60/90-day horizons, confidence score, per-region stressor breakdown, and current FRED price reference. Covers 11 commodities: WHEAT, CORN, SOYB, COFFEE, COCOA, COTTON, SUGAR, WTI, NG, COPPER, LUMBER. Designed for institutional research teams evaluating commodity positions. Signals reflect supply constraint risk from climate — not a financial recommendation. Cache: 4h.

Input Schema

TableJSON Schema
NameRequiredDescriptionDefault
freshNotrue = bypass 4h cache and recompute live signals
symbolYesCommodity symbol

Output Schema

TableJSON Schema
NameRequiredDescriptionDefault
nameNo
signalNo
symbolNo
regionsNoPer production-region climate scores and drought/temperature readings
horizonsNo30d / 60d / 90d — each has signal, confidence, basis
reasoningNoPlain-language synthesis of climate signals and price implications
stressorsNoActive climate stressors with severity, region, price impact estimate, probability
confidenceNoSignal confidence 0–1
climateScoreNoSupply constraint pressure 0–100; >65 = elevated bullish pressure
currentPriceNoLatest FRED price reference (value, unit, date)
forecastedAtNo
recommendationNo
inGrowingSeasonNotrue = stressors in peak transmission window — act faster

TDQS

A3.8/5.0
Behavior4/5

Does the description disclose side effects, auth requirements, rate limits, or destructive behavior?

Annotations already mark this as read-only (readOnlyHint=true) and non-destructive. The description adds valuable behavioral context: the 4-hour cache, the ability to bypass it with the 'fresh' parameter, the specific return structure (signal, horizons, confidence, region breakdown, FRED price), and a disclaimer. This enriches the agent's understanding beyond what annotations provide. Score 4.

Agents need to know what a tool does to the world before calling it. Descriptions should go beyond structured annotations to explain consequences.

Conciseness5/5

Is the description appropriately sized, front-loaded, and free of redundancy?

The description is tightly written, with each sentence adding information. The first sentence states the core purpose ('Climate-driven price pressure outlook for a commodity'). The structure is clear and easy to parse. There is no wasted text or repetition. Score 5.

Shorter descriptions cost fewer tokens and are easier for agents to parse. Every sentence should earn its place.

Completeness4/5

Given the tool's complexity, does the description cover enough for an agent to succeed on first attempt?

The tool has a moderately complex output (multiple horizons, confidence, region breakdown, price reference), but an output schema exists. The description provides a high-level summary of the return structure, lists all supported commodities, mentions cache, and includes a disclaimer. It is adequate for an agent to understand what the tool returns and when to use it. Minor omissions: no mention of error handling or rate limits, but these are not critical for a read-only tool. Score 4.

Complex tools with many parameters or behaviors need more documentation. Simple tools need less. This dimension scales expectations accordingly.

Parameters3/5

Does the description clarify parameter syntax, constraints, interactions, or defaults beyond what the schema provides?

Schema description coverage is 100%, so the base is 3. The description does not add additional meaning to the parameters beyond what the schema already provides. The 'fresh' parameter's cache-bypass behavior is explained in the schema, and the description's mention of 'Cache: 4h' is redundant. The symbol enum is fully listed. Thus no extra value is added. Score 3.

Input schemas describe structure but not intent. Descriptions should explain non-obvious parameter relationships and valid value ranges.

Purpose4/5

Does the description clearly state what the tool does and how it differs from similar tools?

The description clearly states the tool's function: 'Climate-driven price pressure outlook for a commodity.' It specifies the exact output format (BULLISH/BEARISH/NEUTRAL signals with horizons, confidence, region breakdown, FRED price) and lists the 11 supported commodities. However, it does not explicitly differentiate from sibling forecast tools (e.g., forecast.calendar, forecast.scenario), so a score of 4 is appropriate.

Agents choose between tools based on descriptions. A clear purpose with a specific verb and resource helps agents select the right tool.

Usage Guidelines3/5

Does the description explain when to use this tool, when not to, or what alternatives exist?

The description mentions the target audience ('institutional research teams evaluating commodity positions') and clarifies that signals reflect supply constraint risk, not a financial recommendation. But it does not provide explicit guidance on when to use this tool versus other forecast tools, nor does it state when not to use it (e.g., if a user needs financial advice or non-climate factors). This leaves room for ambiguity. Score 3.

Agents often have multiple tools that could apply. Explicit usage guidance like "use X instead of Y when Z" prevents misuse.

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TDQS

A4/5.0
Disambiguation4/5

Most tools have clearly distinct purposes, especially within their domains (e.g., analytics, compliance, ESG, forecasting). However, a few tools like route and stability.stablecoin_route or settlement.quote and fx.cost_certainty may cause confusion despite distinct descriptions, and the large number of intelligence tools (cascade, aftershock, contagion, etc.) could lead to misselection without careful reading.

Naming Consistency3/5

Naming follows a domain prefix pattern (e.g., agent.kya_register, settlement.quote, esg.score), which provides some structure. However, inconsistencies exist: some tools use underscores (batch_settle, flow_check), others are single words (route), and the mix of verb_noun and noun_verb styles (e.g., compliance.pep_screen vs market.fx) reduces predictability.

Tool Count3/5

At 71 tools, the server is very broad in scope, covering compliance, ESG, forecasting, intelligence, treasury management, and more. While each tool seems justified for the complex institutional domain, the sheer number may overwhelm agents and makes the set feel bloated. A more focused scope or tighter tool grouping would improve appropriateness.

Completeness4/5

The tool surface is remarkably comprehensive for cross-border settlement, covering end-to-end workflow from quoting, FX analysis, compliance screening, ESG scoring, forecasting, and multiple payment rails (Mercury, Ramp, SWIFT). Minor gaps exist (e.g., no tool to update a settlement after execution), but core operations are well-covered, and the addition of integration and audit trails enhances completeness.

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