Loss and reserve scenario: charge-offs, provision, and capital
loss_reserve_scenarioStress a bank's net charge-offs: provision needed to hold its allowance ratio and the after-tax hit to CET1 or leverage capital, with peers. Free; computed from FFIEC filings; results state whether each number is filed, derived, or assumed.
Input Schema
| Name | Required | Description | Default |
|---|---|---|---|
| certificate | Yes | FDIC certificate number of the bank. | |
| reserveBuildBp | No | How much the bank lets its allowance ratio change, in basis points of loans. Zero holds today's allowance-to-loans ratio, which is the base case; a positive number models a reserve build as conditions deteriorate. | |
| taxRatePercent | No | The tax shield on the provision. 21% is the U.S. federal statutory corporate rate, used as a starting reference; add state tax or set to zero if the bank cannot use the shield. | |
| loanGrowthPercent | No | Growth in loans over the stress year. Growth raises the allowance needed to hold the ratio; it does not change the charge-off dollars, which are based on today's loans. | |
| capitalFloorPercent | No | The capital ratio to measure headroom against. Leave empty to use 7.0% for a CET1 ratio (the 4.5% minimum plus the 2.5% conservation buffer) or 5.0% for a Tier 1 leverage ratio (well capitalized). Community banks that elected the leverage framework may use 9%. | |
| stressNcoRatePercent | No | The annual net charge-off rate to stress, as a share of loans. Leave empty to use the 90th percentile rate among banks in the same asset band as a labelled reference; enter your own for a specific scenario. | |
| earningsOffsetPercent | No | The part of the provision covered by pre-provision earnings before it reaches capital. Zero is the conservative case: every dollar of provision reduces capital. |