Bitcoin signals: overview
mcw-signals-overviewBitcoin only, beta. The BTC spot price with the change TSP reports beside it (spot.delta_pct, in percent; TSP says it is the exchange-reported change over a rolling day), the trend, direction and confidence on each of thirteen timeframes with their consensus, each timeframe's direction recomputed every minute (live), the bull, base and bear cases with their probabilities for three horizons (TSP's own labels for them, most_probable_arm and dominant_case, are defined in mcw-signals-thesis), and support and resistance by how often they recur. Direction and confidence only: no entry, target or stop is published. Every value carries its own observed time, and freshness says how old the snapshot is. Each horizon's inputs are judged at the moment of the answer, each series against its own cadence (judged_on[].cadence_check, and stale per input family; ETF flows by two days since their row was written, and max pain, which has no cadence, by six hours since its chain was captured, as stopped_refreshing judges them). TSP re-runs its timeframe rows about every ten minutes, though a round is sometimes skipped, and each row's cadence_check judges its analysis against that at the moment of the answer, its ok false past half an hour, three re-runs; live.timeframes gives each timeframe's direction recomputed every minute from candles by TSP's own rule (the live price against the mean of the last 20 closes; distance_pct is how far from it, in percent), or a null direction with why. live.age_s is its price's age (roughly 100 to 170 s on a working lane: the price is dated by its own one-minute bar, not when it was read) and live.stale is true past five minutes, judged at the moment of the answer; live is null when none is stored. Not investment advice.
Input Schema
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