Options Expiry Probabilities
options_probabilityRisk-neutral probabilities implied by crypto options (Deribit) at one expiry: chance of settling above/below a price or inside a range, expected 68%/90% ranges, lognormal at that expiry's ATM IV and forward plus a smile-adjusted value within quoted strikes. Market-implied odds, not calibrated forecasts.
Input Schema
| Name | Required | Description | Default |
|---|---|---|---|
| price | No | Price to get P(above)/P(below) for. | |
| expiry | No | "next" (first expiry ≥ 1 day, default), "2026-12-25" or "25DEC26". | |
| currency | Yes | Underlying symbol, e.g. "BTC". | |
| range_low | No | Range lower bound. | |
| range_high | No | Range upper bound. |