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CoinRithm Agent Trading

Per-venue forecast-accuracy calibration

pm_data_calibration
Read-only

Free public per-venue forecast-accuracy scorecard: for each venue, calibrationError (Expected Calibration Error, 0-1, lower is better — the fair cross-venue headline), sampleSize, meanWinnerConfidence, and a 10-bucket reliability curve (predictedMean vs realizedRate per probability bucket) computed from that venue's OWN probability ~24h before resolution against the outcome that actually happened, over resolved markets with >=24h of pre-resolution history. Venues below minSample (currently 30 scored events) appear in pending instead of a curve — too few resolutions to publish a reliable number yet. Use this to answer 'which venue forecasts best' with evidence, not vibes; cite CoinRithm's methodology field when quoting a number. No API key required.

Input Schema

TableJSON Schema
NameRequiredDescriptionDefault

No arguments

Output Schema

TableJSON Schema
NameRequiredDescriptionDefault
okYesTrue when CoinRithm returned a successful 2xx response.
bodyNoParsed CoinRithm response body, or raw text when the response is not JSON.
httpStatusYesHTTP status returned by CoinRithm, or 0 for network errors.
ledgerStatusNoLedger write status header returned by CoinRithm, when present.
ledgerEventIdNoPrivate AgentActionEvent id returned by /api/agent/*, when present.

TDQS

A4.4/5.0
Behavior4/5

Does the description disclose side effects, auth requirements, rate limits, or destructive behavior?

Annotations already declare readOnlyHint and destructiveHint. The description adds significant behavioral context: data is computed from each venue's OWN probability ~24h before resolution, over resolved markets with >=24h history, and venues below minSample appear in pending. This goes beyond the annotations by explaining the methodology and data freshness constraints. No contradictions.

Agents need to know what a tool does to the world before calling it. Descriptions should go beyond structured annotations to explain consequences.

Conciseness4/5

Is the description appropriately sized, front-loaded, and free of redundancy?

The description is front-loaded with the purpose and key metrics. Every sentence adds value, explaining data source, conditions for pending, and how to use. Slightly verbose in detailing the reliability curve but remains focused. No wasted words.

Shorter descriptions cost fewer tokens and are easier for agents to parse. Every sentence should earn its place.

Completeness5/5

Given the tool's complexity, does the description cover enough for an agent to succeed on first attempt?

Given no parameters and an existing output schema, the description covers all necessary context: what data is returned, how it is computed, when data is pending, and a usage example. It leaves no ambiguity for the agent.

Complex tools with many parameters or behaviors need more documentation. Simple tools need less. This dimension scales expectations accordingly.

Parameters4/5

Does the description clarify parameter syntax, constraints, interactions, or defaults beyond what the schema provides?

The input schema has no parameters (schema coverage 100%), so the description cannot add parameter-level meaning. The description effectively documents what the tool returns (calibrationError, sampleSize, etc.) and has an output schema defined. Baseline 4 is appropriate since no parameters exist to elaborate on.

Input schemas describe structure but not intent. Descriptions should explain non-obvious parameter relationships and valid value ranges.

Purpose5/5

Does the description clearly state what the tool does and how it differs from similar tools?

The description opens with 'Free public per-venue forecast-accuracy scorecard', clearly stating the tool's purpose. It specifies the exact metrics provided (calibrationError, sampleSize, meanWinnerConfidence, reliability curve) and explicitly distinguishes itself from other tools by focusing on venue-level calibration. This effectively answers 'what does this tool do?' and differentiates from siblings like pm_data_canonical or pm_data_overview.

Agents choose between tools based on descriptions. A clear purpose with a specific verb and resource helps agents select the right tool.

Usage Guidelines4/5

Does the description explain when to use this tool, when not to, or what alternatives exist?

The description explicitly states the use case: 'Use this to answer \'which venue forecasts best\' with evidence, not vibes'. It also explains when data is pending due to low sample size. While it doesn't explicitly list alternatives or when not to use, the sibling tools are numerous and the description's clear focus on venue calibration guides appropriate usage.

Agents often have multiple tools that could apply. Explicit usage guidance like "use X instead of Y when Z" prevents misuse.

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TDQS

A3.9/5.0
Disambiguation4/5

Most tools have clearly distinct purposes, but a few could be confused (e.g., get_performance vs get_equity_curve, get_portfolio vs get_wallet). Descriptions help differentiate them.

Naming Consistency4/5

Predominantly verb_noun (get_*, place_*, open_*, etc.) with a consistent pm_data_* prefix for prediction market data tools. Minor outliers like whoami and futures_quote/spot_quote without a verb are exceptions.

Tool Count4/5

37 tools is slightly high but appropriate for a multi-venue trading platform covering spot, futures, and prediction markets along with extensive data and performance tracking tools.

Completeness4/5

Covers core trading lifecycle (quote, open, close, cancel) for all venues, plus market data, ledger exports, and arena leaderboards. Lacks spot order modification but otherwise well-rounded.

Resources