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MAD Synapse · Pump & LP

Graduation odds

pump_odds
Read-onlyIdempotent

Probability a pump.fun launch graduates, from how comparable launches in our tape actually ended — with the lift over the ~3% base rate. Buckets the launch's first 60 seconds (unique buyers, buy SOL, dev buy) and returns the empirical graduation rate of thousands of comparable recent launches whose outcome is known, shrunk toward coarser buckets when samples are thin. Rebuilt every 6 hours. When to use: For graduation probability only; launch_scan (on the MAD Synapse · Wallets & Risk server, https://agent.maddegen.art/hub/mcp/risk) includes it alongside the other checks. Price: $0.01 per call (10 free/day; after that a payment-required result lists x402 options). Errors: returns isError with a message for invalid input or an upstream failure (not charged).

Input Schema

TableJSON Schema
NameRequiredDescriptionDefault
mintYespump.fun token mint. Base58 Solana address, 32-44 chars.

Output Schema

TableJSON Schema
NameRequiredDescriptionDefault
mintNo
age_sNo
foundNo
modelNo
methodNo
statusNo
symbolNo
swap_urlNo
created_atNo
graduationNo
launch_minuteNo
curve_progress_pctNo

Schema Changelog

Changes observed during successful MCP inspections.

  1. First observed

TDQS

A4.6/5.0
Behavior5/5

Does the description disclose side effects, auth requirements, rate limits, or destructive behavior?

Annotations already declare readOnly/idempotent/non-destructive, and the description goes well beyond them: pricing ($0.01/call, 10 free/day, x402 payment-required result), freshness (rebuilt every 6 hours), shrinkage behavior on thin samples, and error semantics (isError on invalid input or upstream failure, uncharged). This is unusually rich disclosure for a read-only tool.

Agents need to know what a tool does to the world before calling it. Descriptions should go beyond structured annotations to explain consequences.

Conciseness4/5

Is the description appropriately sized, front-loaded, and free of redundancy?

Front-loaded with the core purpose and method, followed by freshness, when-to-use, price, and errors. The sentences are dense but each earns its place; slightly long, though nothing is truly redundant.

Shorter descriptions cost fewer tokens and are easier for agents to parse. Every sentence should earn its place.

Completeness5/5

Given the tool's complexity, does the description cover enough for an agent to succeed on first attempt?

Output schema exists, so return-value explanation is unnecessary. The description still covers the modeling approach, data freshness, cost, error behavior, and routing to alternatives, leaving no material gap for calling the tool correctly.

Complex tools with many parameters or behaviors need more documentation. Simple tools need less. This dimension scales expectations accordingly.

Parameters3/5

Does the description clarify parameter syntax, constraints, interactions, or defaults beyond what the schema provides?

Only one parameter with 100% schema description coverage, so the schema fully documents the required mint and its Base58 format. The description's bucket details (unique buyers, buy SOL, dev buy over the first 60s) describe the model inputs rather than parameter usage, adding no semantics beyond the schema. Baseline 3 applies.

Input schemas describe structure but not intent. Descriptions should explain non-obvious parameter relationships and valid value ranges.

Purpose5/5

Does the description clearly state what the tool does and how it differs from similar tools?

States a specific resource (pump.fun launch graduation probability) and a specific method (empirical rates from comparables with lift over the ~3% base rate). It distinguishes itself from siblings by scoping to 'graduation probability only' and naming launch_scan as the broader alternative. An agent can tell this apart from pump_launches, pump_token, or pump_pulse without opening a schema.

Agents choose between tools based on descriptions. A clear purpose with a specific verb and resource helps agents select the right tool.

Usage Guidelines5/5

Does the description explain when to use this tool, when not to, or what alternatives exist?

Explicit 'When to use: For graduation probability only' with a named alternative (launch_scan on the MAD Synapse risk server) that bundles it with other checks. This is a genuine when/when-not routing statement, not implied guidance.

Agents often have multiple tools that could apply. Explicit usage guidance like "use X instead of Y when Z" prevents misuse.

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