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APEX Runner Crypto Signals

regime_transition_probability

$0.007 — Priced at $0.01. Mines APEX Runner's real trade history to build a regime transition matrix and predict probability of market regime shift within 4 hours. Derived from 199 real trade outcomes across 10 evolution runs — not simulated data. Combines historical transition patterns with live ADX, volume, and Bollinger Band signals.

Tool call template

This tool declares no required parameters. Add optional parameters from the input schema as needed.

{
  "id": 1,
  "jsonrpc": "2.0",
  "method": "tools/call",
  "params": {
    "arguments": {},
    "name": "regime_transition_probability"
  }
}

Input Schema

NameRequiredDescriptionDefault

No arguments

Schema Changelog

Changes observed during successful MCP inspections.

  1. First observed

TDQS

B3.2/5.0
Behavior3/5

Does the description disclose side effects, auth requirements, rate limits, or destructive behavior?

With no annotations, the description must carry the behavioral burden. It does add valuable provenance ('199 real trade outcomes across 10 evolution runs — not simulated data') and states the live inputs used, which helps an agent trust and interpret the result, but it omits output shape, latency, rate limits, and any reliability caveats.

Agents need to know what a tool does to the world before calling it. Descriptions should go beyond structured annotations to explain consequences.

Conciseness3/5

Is the description appropriately sized, front-loaded, and free of redundancy?

The substance is dense and reasonably front-loaded, but it opens with a confusing, self-contradictory pricing prefix ('$0.007 — Priced at $0.01') that burns attention and leaves the reader unsure which price is real. Removing or clarifying that clause would tighten the definition considerably.

Shorter descriptions cost fewer tokens and are easier for agents to parse. Every sentence should earn its place.

Completeness3/5

Given the tool's complexity, does the description cover enough for an agent to succeed on first attempt?

For a zero-parameter tool with no output schema, the description covers what the number means and how it is produced, which is close to sufficient. However, it never states the form of the return value (a probability bounded 0–1, a matrix, or a label) or the time frame's interpretation, leaving an agent to guess how to consume the result.

Complex tools with many parameters or behaviors need more documentation. Simple tools need less. This dimension scales expectations accordingly.

Parameters4/5

Does the description clarify parameter syntax, constraints, interactions, or defaults beyond what the schema provides?

The tool takes zero parameters, so there is no parameter semantics to explain and the baseline of 4 applies. The description does not need to compensate for any schema gap here.

Input schemas describe structure but not intent. Descriptions should explain non-obvious parameter relationships and valid value ranges.

Purpose4/5

Does the description clearly state what the tool does and how it differs from similar tools?

States a specific computation: build a regime transition matrix from real trade history and predict the probability of a market regime shift within a 4-hour horizon. That is a clear verb+resource, but the description never distinguishes it from similarly named siblings like regime, regime_transition, or regime_confluence, so an agent could not confidently pick this over them from the text alone.

Agents choose between tools based on descriptions. A clear purpose with a specific verb and resource helps agents select the right tool.

Usage Guidelines2/5

Does the description explain when to use this tool, when not to, or what alternatives exist?

No when-to-use guidance is given: nothing says under what market conditions or decision contexts this probability should be consulted, and no alternative tool is named or excluded. The mention of ADX, volume, and Bollinger inputs describes the model's internals, not invocation guidance.

Agents often have multiple tools that could apply. Explicit usage guidance like "use X instead of Y when Z" prevents misuse.

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